

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Albacete mixed, Eldense weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Albacete take a form score of 4.1 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 2.0 for Eldense. Albacete have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Eldense have 1 draw and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Albacete average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Eldense 1.0 and 2.1. Albacete have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Eldense in 0%. In their last 7 meetings Albacete have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3. Albacete sit 20th on 0 points, Eldense 19th on 1.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Two sides sitting in the Segunda División relegation zone meet in contrasting form, with Albacete hosting Eldense in a fixture that pits 20th against 19th. The hosts occupy bottom spot on 0 points from 2 matches while Eldense sit one place and one point ahead on 1 point from 2, both sides trailing Las Palmas at the summit by 6 points. Albacete's weighted form score of 4.1 out of 10 marks them as patchy but measurably stronger than Eldense's poor rating of 2.0, a gap of 2.1 that reflects their visitors' struggle to stem the flow of goals conceded.
Albacete have managed 5 goals across their last 5 fixtures but shipped 7, recording 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. They have found the net in all 5 outings but kept just 1 clean sheet in that span. Both competitive Segunda División fixtures ended in narrow 1-2 defeats, first away to Las Palmas on 16 August and then at home to Real Sociedad II on 22 August, leaving them winless in the league. Their season profile shows 15 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game across a 4-match sample with 43.5 percent possession, though they have failed to score in 20 percent of games and kept a clean sheet in the same proportion.
Eldense arrive with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 5, scoring just 4 goals while conceding 11. They have scored in 3 of those 5 but have yet to record a clean sheet. Their competitive Segunda División campaign began with a 0-3 loss away to Almeria on 17 August before they salvaged a 2-2 draw at home to Cadiz on 22 August. That share of the points represents their only return so far, and a goals-conceded rate of 2.50 per game in the league hints at systemic defensive issues that even a point could not mask.
The head-to-head ledger across the last 7 meetings leans narrowly toward Eldense with 3 wins to Albacete's 2 and 2 draws, though the most recent encounter on 7 August saw Albacete edge a pre-season friendly 1-0. Of the 5 itemised fixtures, Eldense took consecutive victories in November 2024 and February 2025, both by single-goal margins, while Albacete won 1-0 in April 2024 and the December 2023 meeting finished 1-1. Across all 7 encounters the average sits at 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 7 and over 2.5 goals landing in just 1 of 7, a profile that favours the under despite neither side showing much defensive solidity this season.
With Albacete's form rating 2.1 points superior and home advantage in their favour, the data suggests the hosts carry a narrow edge despite sitting bottom of the table. Eldense's record of conceding 11 goals in 5 matches and 5 in 2 competitive fixtures offers little comfort on the road, while Albacete's ability to score in every recent outing points to a side capable of troubling a leaky defence. The head-to-head pattern of low-scoring encounters may yet reassert itself, but if Albacete are to collect their first league points of the campaign, this fixture presents a realistic opportunity.
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