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    World Cup · kickoff 03:00
    FT 3-3
    Algeria
    Algeria
    3rd in the table
    WLWDL
    final
    3 - 3
    Austria
    Austria
    2nd in the table
    WLDL
    how the market sees it finishing
    24%
    Algeria
    43%
    Draw
    33%
    Austria

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    13.90
    X2.20
    22.88

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultPush, stake returned
    DNB Austria@ 1.60
    7/10
    Austria's superior attacking output (2.56 GPG vs Algeria's 1.9) and World Cup pedigree favor the away win. DNB Away at 1.6 offers better value than straight Away Win at 2.7 while protecting against the draw in what could be a cagey group-stage encounter.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 2.75
    7/10
    Combined GPG of 4.46 suggests a high-scoring affair. Austria's 2.56 GPG away and Algeria's home attacking rate of 1.9 points to 3+ goals, typical of World Cup group matches where both teams need points.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 2.02
    7/10
    Both teams averaging 1.9+ GPG with near-even BTTS odds (1.86/1.89) suggests defenses will be tested. Algeria's 6.89 form at home indicates they'll push forward, while Austria's 2.56 GPG shows consistent scoring ability.

    Algeria

    Form comparison

    Austria

    3.6
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.2
    Form score: Algeria 3.6, Austria 2.2
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    1.78
    Goals scored: Algeria 1.80, Austria 1.78
    1.10
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.22
    Goals conceded: Algeria 1.10, Austria 1.22

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Algeria
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Austria0/5
    2/5Algeria
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Austria2/5
    1.8Algeria
    Goals For per game
    Austria1.8
    1.1Algeria
    Goals Against per game
    Austria1.2
    0Algeria
    Win Streakmatches
    Austria0
    Season averages • Algeria: 10 matches • Austria: 9 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Algeria
    Algeria
    Mixed3.6/10
    WLWDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Austria
    Austria
    Poor2.2/10
    WLDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/4
    BTTS
    2/4
    Clean sheet
    0/4
    Scored in
    2/4
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Algeria's perspective
    • 28 Jun 2026Algeria3-3Austria
    Algeria
    Algeria
    Last 5 matches
    • 03 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland2-0L
    • 28 Jun 2026vsAustria3-3D
    • 23 Jun 2026vsJordan1-2W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsArgentina3-0L
    • 11 Jun 2026vsBolivia0-4W
    Austria
    Austria
    Last 5 matches
    • 02 Jul 2026vsSpain3-0L
    • 28 Jun 2026vsAlgeria3-3D
    • 22 Jun 2026vsArgentina2-0L
    • 17 Jun 2026vsJordan3-1W
    PosTeamPts
    1Argentina9
    2Austria4
    3Algeria4
    4Jordan0
    Updated daily

    Algeria vs Austria: form and season numbers

    Algeria take a form score of 3.6 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.2 for Austria. Algeria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Austria have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Algeria average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, Austria 1.8 and 1.2. Algeria have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Austria in 33%. In their last 1 meeting Algeria have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Algeria sit 3rd on 4 points, Austria 2nd on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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