Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Almería mixed, Las Palmas mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Almería take a form score of 8.3 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 5.7 for Las Palmas. Almería have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, while Las Palmas have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Almería average 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Las Palmas 1.6 and 1.6. Almería have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Las Palmas in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Almería have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4. Almería sit 1st on 29 points, Las Palmas 10th on 20.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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