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    Segunda Division · kickoff 13:00
    FT 1-0
    Andorra
    Andorra
    16th in the table
    LLWDW
    final
    1 - 0
    Castellon
    Castellon
    2nd in the table
    WWWDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Castellon Win@ 2.26
    3/10
    Our three-way read is Andorra 31%, the draw 25%, Castellon 44%, so Castellon are the likeliest single outcome.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.42
    7/10
    We make the total 2.7 goals, so Under 3.5 Goals lands 71%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 49%.
    Double chanceLoss
    Castellon or Draw@ 1.44
    7/10
    Castellon winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 69% between them. Only Andorra winning beats it, at 31%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    31%
    Andorra
    25%
    Draw
    44%
    Castellon

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.7 goalsWe make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Andorra

    Form comparison

    Castellon

    3.7
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    6.8
    Form score: Andorra 3.7, Castellon 6.8
    1.30
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.60
    Goals scored: Andorra 1.30, Castellon 1.60
    1.90
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    0.70
    Goals conceded: Andorra 1.90, Castellon 0.70
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    weak

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Andorra mixed, Castellon weak

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Andorra
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Castellon2/5
    1/5Andorra
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Castellon1/5
    1.3Andorra
    Goals For per game
    Castellon1.6
    1.9Andorra
    Goals Against per game
    Castellon0.7
    3.3Andorra
    Yellow Cards per game
    Castellon1.8
    0.0Andorra
    Red Cards per game
    Castellon0.2
    1Andorra
    Win Streakmatches
    Castellon0
    Season averages • Andorra: 10 matches • Castellon: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Andorra
    Andorra
    Mixed3.7/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Castellon
    Castellon
    Solid6.8/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    3W - 0D - 3L from Andorra's perspective
    • 11 Oct 2026FC Andorra1-0Castellón
    • 01 Feb 2026Castellón2-0FC Andorra
    • 22 Nov 2025FC Andorra1-3Castellón
    • 26 Mar 2022FC Andorra1-0Castellón
    • 11 Dec 2021Castellón1-3FC Andorra
    Andorra
    Andorra
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Oct 2026vsCastellón1-0W
    • 04 Oct 2026vsSabadell0-0D
    • 26 Sept 2026vsGranada CF2-3W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsSporting Gijon1-3L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsReal Sociedad II1-3L
    Castellon
    Castellon
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Oct 2026vsFC Andorra1-0L
    • 04 Oct 2026vsAD Ceuta FC1-1D
    • 28 Sept 2026vsLeganes0-2W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsTenerife5-0W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsGirona1-2W
    PosTeamPts
    1Eibar21
    2Castellon20
    3Almería18
    4Sabadell16
    14Tenerife11
    15Leganés11
    16Andorra10
    17Valladolid9
    18Córdoba9
    Updated daily

    Andorra vs Castellon: form and season numbers

    Andorra take a form score of 3.7 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.8 for Castellon. Andorra have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Castellon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Andorra average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, Castellon 1.6 and 0.7. Andorra have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Castellon in 50%. In their last 6 meetings Andorra have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3. Andorra sit 16th on 10 points, Castellon 2nd on 20.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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