

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Arsenal weak, Dortmund mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Arsenal take a form score of 7.2 out of 10 into this Champions League fixture, against 7.1 for Dortmund. Arsenal have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, while Dortmund have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Arsenal average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Dortmund 1.5 and 1.0. Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Dortmund in 30%. In their last 7 meetings Arsenal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3. Arsenal sit 3rd on 10 points, Dortmund 12th on 9.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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