Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Arsenal
Form comparisonManchester City
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Arsenal mixed, Manchester City weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 16 Aug 2026Arsenal3-0Manchester City
- 19 Apr 2026Manchester City2-1Arsenal
- 22 Mar 2026Arsenal0-2Manchester City
- 21 Sept 2025Arsenal1-1Manchester City
- 02 Feb 2025Arsenal5-1Manchester City
- 19 Sept 2026vsBrighton3-0L
- 15 Sept 2026vsIpswich2-4W
- 12 Sept 2026vsSunderland0-2W
- 09 Sept 2026vsNapoli0-1W
- 06 Sept 2026vsChelsea2-1W
- 20 Sept 2026vsSunderland5-3W
- 17 Sept 2026vsNorwich5-0W
- 13 Sept 2026vsManchester United0-1W
- 08 Sept 2026vsFC Porto0-2W
- 05 Sept 2026vsCoventry1-0W
Arsenal vs Manchester City: form and season numbers
Arsenal take a form score of 7.2 out of 10 into this Premier League fixture, against 8.6 for Manchester City. Arsenal have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Manchester City have 5 wins in theirs. Across the season Arsenal average 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Manchester City 2.6 and 1.0. Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Manchester City in 40%. In their last 10 meetings Arsenal have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3. Arsenal sit 2nd on 12 points, Manchester City 1st on 15.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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