Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Arsenal
Form comparisonReal Madrid
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Arsenal strong, Real Madrid mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 16 Apr 2025Real Madrid1-2Arsenal
- 08 Apr 2025Arsenal3-0Real Madrid
- 24 Jul 2019Real Madrid2-2Arsenal
- 19 Sept 2026vsBrighton3-0L
- 15 Sept 2026vsIpswich2-4W
- 12 Sept 2026vsSunderland0-2W
- 09 Sept 2026vsNapoli0-1W
- 06 Sept 2026vsChelsea2-1W
- 20 Sept 2026vsAtletico Madrid2-1L
- 15 Sept 2026vsElche2-3W
- 12 Sept 2026vsRayo Vallecano4-1W
- 08 Sept 2026vsInter2-1W
- 04 Sept 2026vsReal Betis1-0L
Arsenal vs Real Madrid: form and season numbers
Arsenal take a form score of 7.6 out of 10 into this Champions League fixture, against 8.0 for Real Madrid. Arsenal have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Real Madrid have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Arsenal average 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Real Madrid 2.4 and 0.9. Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Real Madrid in 30%. In their last 3 meetings Arsenal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0. Arsenal sit 15th on 3 points, Real Madrid 14th on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram