Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: AS Roma mixed, Monza mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
AS Roma take a form score of 6.8 out of 10 into this Serie A fixture, against 3.3 for Monza. AS Roma have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 competitive matches, while Monza have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season AS Roma average 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Monza 1.7 and 2.2. AS Roma have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Monza in 10%. In their last 6 meetings AS Roma have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0. AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points, Monza 18th on 7.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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