Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Aston Villa mixed, Everton mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Aston Villa take a form score of 5.4 out of 10 into this Premier League fixture, against 5.4 for Everton. Aston Villa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Everton have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Aston Villa average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Everton 1.3 and 1.0. Aston Villa have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Everton in 40%. In their last 10 meetings Aston Villa have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2. Aston Villa sit 10th on 13 points, Everton 6th on 16.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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