

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Atletico Mineiro mixed, Vasco da Gama strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Atletico Mineiro take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 5.6 for Vasco da Gama. Atletico Mineiro have 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 competitive matches, while Vasco da Gama have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Atletico Mineiro average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Vasco da Gama 1.3 and 1.4. Atletico Mineiro have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Vasco da Gama in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Atletico Mineiro have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4. Atletico Mineiro sit 7th on 50 points, Vasco da Gama 13th on 41.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram