

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Atletico Paranaense mixed, Sao Paulo mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Atletico Paranaense take a form score of 3.5 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 4.1 for Sao Paulo. Atletico Paranaense have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Atletico Paranaense average 1.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, Sao Paulo 0.9 and 1.2. Atletico Paranaense have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Sao Paulo in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Atletico Paranaense have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5. Atletico Paranaense sit 5th on 54 points, Sao Paulo 10th on 44.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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