Back to all matches
    World Cup · kickoff 05:00
    FT 2-0
    Australia
    Australia
    2nd in the table
    DWLDD
    final
    2 - 0
    Türkiye
    Türkiye
    4th in the table
    WDWLD
    We make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Away Win@ 1.70
    7/10
    Turkey showed strong qualifying form and possess superior technical quality. Australia's home advantage is neutralized in a neutral venue opener, and Turkey's squad depth gives them the edge in a cautious MD1 encounter.
    GoalsWin
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.30
    8/10
    Turkey will create chances against Australia's weaker defense. Even 1-0 or 2-0 clears this line. Over 1.5 aligns with predicted 1-2 scoreline and both teams' attacking capabilities.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 1.91
    5/10
    Australia at home in a must-not-lose opener will push forward. Turkey's back line can be vulnerable on counter-transitions. Predicted 1-2 implies both score, but MD1 nerves create uncertainty.

    Australia

    Form comparison

    Türkiye

    3.6
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.2
    Form score: Australia 3.6, Türkiye 4.2
    1.00
    Goals scoredper game
    1.60
    Goals scored: Australia 1.00, Türkiye 1.60
    1.00
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.00
    Goals conceded: Australia 1.00, Türkiye 1.00

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Australia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Türkiye1/5
    2/5Australia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Türkiye0/5
    1.0Australia
    Goals For per game
    Türkiye1.6
    1.0Australia
    Goals Against per game
    Türkiye1.0
    0Australia
    Win Streakmatches
    Türkiye0
    Season averages • Australia: 10 matches • Türkiye: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Australia
    Australia
    Mixed3.6/10
    DWLDD
    Over 2.5 goals
    0/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Türkiye
    Türkiye
    Mixed4.2/10
    WDWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 0L from Australia's perspective
    Australia
    Australia
    Last 5 matches
    • 03 Jul 2026vsEgypt1-1D
    • 26 Jun 2026vsParaguay0-0D
    • 19 Jun 2026vsUSA2-0L
    • 14 Jun 2026vsTürkiye2-0W
    • 06 Jun 2026vsSwitzerland1-1D
    Türkiye
    Türkiye
    Last 5 matches
    • 31 Mar 2026vsItaly U191-1D
    • 30 Mar 2026vsKosovo U193-1L
    • 28 Mar 2026vsHungary U193-2W
    • 27 Mar 2026vsArmenia U191-1D
    • 25 Mar 2026vsSlovakia U190-1W
    PosTeamPts
    1USA6
    2Australia4
    3Paraguay4
    4Türkiye3
    Updated daily

    Australia vs Türkiye: form and season numbers

    Australia take a form score of 3.6 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.2 for Türkiye. Australia have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Türkiye have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Australia average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Türkiye 1.6 and 1.0. Australia have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Türkiye in 40%. Australia sit 2nd on 4 points, Türkiye 4th on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

    Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops

    Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.

    Join the free Telegram