

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




AZ Alkmaar take a form score of 7.3 out of 10 into this Europa League fixture, against 6.1 for Sturm Graz. AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Sturm Graz have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season AZ Alkmaar average 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Sturm Graz 1.4 and 1.1. AZ Alkmaar have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Sturm Graz in 30%. AZ Alkmaar sit 26th on 0 points, Sturm Graz 17th on 1.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram