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    Brasileirao · kickoff 21:00
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    Bahia
    Bahia
    5th in the table
    WWWWL
    vs
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    7th in the table
    LWWDW
    Predictions coming soon

    Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.

    how the market sees it finishing
    25%
    Bahia
    27%
    Draw
    48%
    Atletico Mineiro

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    13.70
    X3.40
    21.95

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Bahia

    Form comparison

    Atletico Mineiro

    5.0
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    6.7
    Form score: Bahia 5.0, Atletico Mineiro 6.7
    1.60
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.40
    Goals scored: Bahia 1.60, Atletico Mineiro 1.40
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Bahia 1.20, Atletico Mineiro 1.10
    weak
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Bahia weak, Atletico Mineiro mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Bahia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Atletico Mineiro1/5
    0/5Bahia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Atletico Mineiro1/5
    1.6Bahia
    Goals For per game
    Atletico Mineiro1.4
    1.2Bahia
    Goals Against per game
    Atletico Mineiro1.1
    1.9Bahia
    Yellow Cards per game
    Atletico Mineiro1.1
    0Bahia
    Win Streakmatches
    Atletico Mineiro1
    Season averages • Bahia: 10 matches • Atletico Mineiro: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Solid5.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Solid6.7/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    4W - 2D - 4L from Bahia's perspective
    • 21 Jul 2026Atletico-MG1-1Bahia
    • 05 Nov 2025Atletico-MG3-0Bahia
    • 13 Jul 2025Bahia2-1Atletico-MG
    • 15 Sept 2024Bahia3-0Atletico-MG
    • 02 Jun 2024Atletico-MG1-1Bahia
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Last 5 matches
    • 20 Sept 2026vsAtletico Paranaense2-1L
    • 14 Sept 2026vsRemo2-1W
    • 05 Sept 2026vsRB Bragantino2-3W
    • 30 Aug 2026vsInternacional3-2W
    • 23 Aug 2026vsVitoria0-2W
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Last 5 matches
    • 03 Oct 2026vsRB Bragantino1-0W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsChapecoense-sc1-1D
    • 16 Sept 2026vsSantos4-2W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsFluminense3-1W
    • 09 Sept 2026vsSantos2-0L
    PosTeamPts
    3Atletico Paranaense49
    4Fluminense48
    5Bahia46
    6Cruzeiro45
    7Atletico Mineiro43
    8Santos41
    9Coritiba38
    Updated daily

    Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro: form and season numbers

    Bahia take a form score of 5.0 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 6.7 for Atletico Mineiro. Bahia have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Atletico Mineiro have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Bahia average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Atletico Mineiro 1.4 and 1.1. Bahia have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Atletico Mineiro in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Bahia have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4. Bahia sit 5th on 46 points, Atletico Mineiro 7th on 43.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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