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    World Cup · kickoff 20:00
    FT 1-1
    Belgium
    Belgium
    1st in the table
    DWWWL
    final
    1 - 1
    Egypt
    Egypt
    2nd in the table
    DWDDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.65
    Safer: Belgium or draw at 1.14
    7/10
    Belgium's stronger qualifying campaign and home advantage in a MD1 opener against Egypt's less consistent form makes the home win the clearest outcome despite typical opener caution.
    GoalsWin
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.28
    8/10
    Belgium's attacking quality (Lukaku, De Bruyne, Doku) against Egypt's counter-pressing setup makes 2+ goals highly probable. Over 1.5 at 1.28 is the safest play on the slate.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.83
    6/10
    Egypt scored just 7 goals in 6 AFCON qualifiers and will prioritize defensive shape. Belgium's backline (Vertonghen, Castagne) is aging but sufficient to contain Egypt's limited attack on MD1.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 2 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Belgium

    Form comparison

    Egypt

    6.2
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.1
    Form score: Belgium 6.2, Egypt 3.1
    2.70
    Goals scoredper game
    1.40
    Goals scored: Belgium 2.70, Egypt 1.40
    1.00
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.90
    Goals conceded: Belgium 1.00, Egypt 0.90

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Belgium
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Egypt0/5
    1/5Belgium
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Egypt0/5
    2.7Belgium
    Goals For per game
    Egypt1.4
    1.0Belgium
    Goals Against per game
    Egypt0.9
    0Belgium
    Win Streakmatches
    Egypt0
    Season averages • Belgium: 10 matches • Egypt: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Solid6.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Mixed3.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 1D - 1L from Belgium's perspective
    • 15 Jun 2026Belgium1-1Egypt
    • 18 Nov 2022Belgium1-2Egypt
    • 06 Jun 2018Belgium3-0Egypt
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Jul 2026vsSpain2-1L
    • 07 Jul 2026vsUSA1-4W
    • 01 Jul 2026vsSenegal3-2W
    • 27 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand1-5W
    • 21 Jun 2026vsIran0-0D
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-2L
    • 03 Jul 2026vsAustralia1-1D
    • 27 Jun 2026vsIran1-1D
    • 22 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand1-3W
    • 15 Jun 2026vsBelgium1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1Belgium5
    2Egypt5
    3Iran3
    4New Zealand1
    Updated daily

    Belgium vs Egypt: form and season numbers

    Belgium take a form score of 6.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.1 for Egypt. Belgium have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Egypt have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Belgium average 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Egypt 1.4 and 0.9. Belgium have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Egypt in 40%. In their last 3 meetings Belgium have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1. Belgium sit 1st on 5 points, Egypt 2nd on 5.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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