Benfica welcome Estoril on Sunday having won 9 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, with the visitors yet to register a victory in that sequence. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in Benfica's favour at Estoril in May, part of a five-match itemised run that has seen the hosts prevail 3-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-1 and 2-1. That consistency of outcome underlines the gulf, with both teams finding the net in 6 of the 10 head-to-head fixtures and over 2.5 goals landing in 6 of 10 at an average of 2.9 per meeting.

Benfica's pre-season has shown flashes of threat wrapped in inconsistency, yielding a form score of 6 out of 10 across their last five outings. They have scored 12 goals in those matches and conceded 6, finding the net in all 5 but managing just 1 clean sheet. The standout display arrived in a 5-1 thrashing of CF Os Belenenses, though competitive edges were harder to find in a 2-1 defeat at FC ST. Gallen in the UEFA Europa League and a 2-1 home loss to Flamengo. Over a 7-match sample this season, Benfica average 17.8 shots per game, 6.7 on target, and generate 2.78 expected goals, keeping a clean sheet in 20 percent of fixtures while failing to score in none. That attacking output, paired with 8.8 corners per game and 50.5 percent possession, suggests a side built to control territory and create volume.

Estoril arrive in poor shape, scoring just 3 out of 10 on Formatic's weighted form measure. Their last five matches produced 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. They have scored in only 3 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets, both shutouts coming in goalless stalemates: a 0-0 draw at home to Torreense and a 0-2 loss away to Alverca. The lone bright spot was a 3-0 win over Atlético CP, but bracketing that effort are two defeats, including the 3-1 reverse at home to Benfica in May and a 2-1 setback against Flamengo.

The head-to-head pattern and season profiles point toward a home victory with goals at both ends a realistic prospect given both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings. Benfica's ability to generate 2.78 expected goals per game over their sample, combined with Estoril's fragile pre-season and winless record in this fixture, frames the contest as one where the hosts' attacking volume should eventually tell. The visitors' two clean sheets in five suggest occasional defensive solidity, but those came in low-event friendlies rather than against elite domestic opposition. With Benfica having scored in every one of their last 5 and Estoril managing just 5 goals across the same span, the numbers favour a comfortable home win built on the hosts' shot dominance and Estoril's inability to sustain competitive rhythm.