Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Birmingham City mixed, Portsmouth mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Birmingham City take a form score of 7.9 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 6.4 for Portsmouth. Birmingham City have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5 competitive matches, while Portsmouth have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Birmingham City average 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Portsmouth 1.3 and 1.0. Birmingham City have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Portsmouth in 30%. In their last 5 meetings Birmingham City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2. Birmingham City sit 1st on 29 points, Portsmouth 11th on 22.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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