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    Championship · kickoff 20:00
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    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    7th in the table
    DLWDW
    We make it
    1-1
    2.5 goals expected
    Preston North End
    Preston North End
    24th in the table
    WLLDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultBanker
    Birmingham City or Draw@ 1.14
    8/10
    Birmingham City winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 75% between them. Only Preston North End winning beats it, at 25%.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.23
    7/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Over 1.5 Goals lands 71%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 45%.
    Both teams to scoreValue
    Yes@ 1.71
    3/10
    We give Birmingham City 78% to score and Preston North End 62%, so both finding the net comes out at 49%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    49%
    Birmingham City
    26%
    Draw
    25%
    Preston North End

    The market rates Birmingham City at 58%, so we are 9 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.62
    X4.03
    25.03

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Birmingham City

    Form comparison

    Preston North End

    5.3
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    2.2
    Form score: Birmingham City 5.3, Preston North End 2.2
    1.40
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    0.80
    Goals scored: Birmingham City 1.40, Preston North End 0.80
    1.70
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    2.00
    Goals conceded: Birmingham City 1.70, Preston North End 2.00
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Birmingham City mixed, Preston North End mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Birmingham City
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Preston North End0/5
    0/5Birmingham City
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Preston North End2/5
    1.4Birmingham City
    Goals For per game
    Preston North End0.8
    1.7Birmingham City
    Goals Against per game
    Preston North End2.0
    2.4Birmingham City
    Yellow Cards per game
    Preston North End1.9
    1Birmingham City
    Win Streakmatches
    Preston North End0
    Season averages • Birmingham City: 10 matches • Preston North End: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Solid5.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DLWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Preston North End
    Preston North End
    Poor2.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLLDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    5W - 2D - 3L from Birmingham City's perspective
    • 22 Apr 2026Birmingham2-1Preston
    • 21 Oct 2025Preston0-1Birmingham
    • 01 Apr 2024Birmingham1-0Preston
    • 19 Sept 2023Preston2-1Birmingham
    • 21 Jan 2023Birmingham1-2Preston
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsWest Brom0-1W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsMiddlesbrough2-2D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsDerby1-2W
    • 09 Sept 2026vsNorwich2-1L
    • 06 Sept 2026vsWolves2-2D
    Preston North End
    Preston North End
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsMillwall0-1L
    • 19 Sept 2026vsQPR2-2D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsLincoln0-1L
    • 08 Sept 2026vsWatford2-1L
    • 05 Sept 2026vsBlackburn2-1W
    PosTeamPts
    5Wolverhampton Wanderers14
    6Queens Park Rangers14
    7Birmingham City14
    8Millwall14
    9West Bromwich Albion14
    22Burnley7
    23Derby County6
    24Preston North End4
    Updated daily

    Birmingham City vs Preston North End: form and season numbers

    Birmingham City take a form score of 5.3 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 2.2 for Preston North End. Birmingham City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Preston North End have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Birmingham City average 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Preston North End 0.8 and 2.0. Birmingham City have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Preston North End in 0%. In their last 10 meetings Birmingham City have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3. Birmingham City sit 7th on 14 points, Preston North End 24th on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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