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    Championship · kickoff 15:00
    FT 2-1
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    16th in the table
    LLWDW
    final
    2 - 1
    Cardiff City
    Cardiff City
    21st in the table
    LDLWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Blackburn Rovers or Draw@ 1.59
    8/10
    Blackburn Rovers winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 73% between them. Only Cardiff City winning beats it, at 27%.
    GoalsLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 2.29
    5/10
    We make the total 2.4 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 56%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 30%.
    Second goals lineWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.49
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 77%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 56%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    46%
    Blackburn Rovers
    27%
    Draw
    27%
    Cardiff City

    The market rates Cardiff City at 42%, so we are 15 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.4 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.90
    X3.60
    22.26

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Blackburn Rovers

    Form comparison

    Cardiff City

    4.8
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    3.4
    Form score: Blackburn Rovers 4.8, Cardiff City 3.4
    1.50
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.20
    Goals scored: Blackburn Rovers 1.50, Cardiff City 1.20
    1.50
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.60
    Goals conceded: Blackburn Rovers 1.50, Cardiff City 1.60
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Blackburn Rovers mixed, Cardiff City mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Blackburn Rovers
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Cardiff City0/5
    0/5Blackburn Rovers
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Cardiff City2/5
    1.5Blackburn Rovers
    Goals For per game
    Cardiff City1.2
    1.5Blackburn Rovers
    Goals Against per game
    Cardiff City1.6
    2.2Blackburn Rovers
    Yellow Cards per game
    Cardiff City1.9
    0.2Blackburn Rovers
    Red Cards per game
    Cardiff City0.0
    1Blackburn Rovers
    Win Streakmatches
    Cardiff City0
    Season averages • Blackburn Rovers: 10 matches • Cardiff City: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    Mixed4.8/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Cardiff City
    Cardiff City
    Mixed3.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    7W - 1D - 2L from Blackburn Rovers's perspective
    • 10 Oct 2026Blackburn2-1Cardiff
    • 15 Mar 2025Blackburn1-2Cardiff
    • 09 Nov 2024Cardiff1-3Blackburn
    • 20 Feb 2024Cardiff0-0Blackburn
    • 21 Oct 2023Blackburn1-0Cardiff
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsCardiff2-1W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth2-2D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsMillwall3-1W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsSheffield Utd1-2L
    • 05 Sept 2026vsPreston2-1L
    Cardiff City
    Cardiff City
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsBlackburn2-1L
    • 19 Sept 2026vsCharlton3-1W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsBolton1-0L
    • 08 Sept 2026vsStoke City1-1D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth2-0L
    PosTeamPts
    14Wrexham AFC10
    15Bolton10
    16Blackburn Rovers9
    17Norwich City9
    18Sheffield United9
    19Portsmouth8
    20Watford8
    21Cardiff City7
    22Derby County5
    23Preston North End4
    Updated daily

    Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City: form and season numbers

    Blackburn Rovers take a form score of 4.8 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 3.4 for Cardiff City. Blackburn Rovers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Cardiff City have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Blackburn Rovers average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Cardiff City 1.2 and 1.6. Blackburn Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Cardiff City in 0%. In their last 10 meetings Blackburn Rovers have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2. Blackburn Rovers sit 16th on 9 points, Cardiff City 21st on 7.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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