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    Champions League · kickoff 20:00
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    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    36th in the table
    LWLWW
    We make it
    2-1
    3.4 goals expected
    Dortmund
    Dortmund
    14th in the table
    WWWWD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultBanker
    Bodo/Glimt or Dortmund@ 1.23
    9/10
    The draw is the only result that beats this, and we make it 23%. Bodo/Glimt and Dortmund cover the other 77% between them.
    GoalsValue
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.91
    5/10
    We make the total 3.3 goals, so Under 3.5 Goals lands 57%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 35%.
    Both teams to scoreTop Pick
    Yes@ 1.33
    7/10
    We give Bodo/Glimt 81% to score and Dortmund 81%, so both finding the net comes out at 66%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    39%
    Bodo/Glimt
    23%
    Draw
    38%
    Dortmund

    The market rates Bodo/Glimt at 32%, so we are 7 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 3.4 goalsWe make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    13.00
    X4.07
    22.13

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Bodo/Glimt

    Form comparison

    Dortmund

    8.3
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    8.6
    Form score: Bodo/Glimt 8.3, Dortmund 8.6
    3.00
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    2.50
    Goals scored: Bodo/Glimt 3.00, Dortmund 2.50
    1.60
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.20
    Goals conceded: Bodo/Glimt 1.60, Dortmund 1.20

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Bodo/Glimt
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Dortmund2/5
    1/5Bodo/Glimt
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Dortmund0/5
    3.0Bodo/Glimt
    Goals For per game
    Dortmund2.5
    1.6Bodo/Glimt
    Goals Against per game
    Dortmund1.2
    0.8Bodo/Glimt
    Yellow Cards per game
    Dortmund1.6
    0.2Bodo/Glimt
    Red Cards per game
    Dortmund0.1
    2Bodo/Glimt
    Win Streakmatches
    Dortmund0
    Season averages • Bodo/Glimt: 10 matches • Dortmund: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    Excellent8.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWLWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Dortmund
    Dortmund
    Excellent8.6/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Bodo/Glimt's perspective
    • 10 Dec 2025Borussia Dortmund2-2Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsKristiansund BK3-1W
    • 01 Oct 2026vsRana2-6W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsBrann2-1L
    • 14 Sept 2026vsSandefjord3-2W
    • 10 Sept 2026vsBayern München5-0L
    Dortmund
    Dortmund
    Last 5 matches
    • 09 Oct 2026vsWerder Bremen2-2D
    • 19 Sept 2026vsVfB Stuttgart0-1W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsSC Paderborn 073-0W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsVillarreal3-2W
    • 05 Sept 2026vs1899 Hoffenheim2-3W
    PosTeamPts
    12Real Betis3
    13Atlético Madrid3
    14Dortmund3
    15Liverpool3
    16Real Madrid3
    34Galatasaray0
    35Slovan Bratislava0
    36Bodo/Glimt0
    Updated daily

    Bodo/Glimt vs Dortmund: form and season numbers

    Bodo/Glimt take a form score of 8.3 out of 10 into this Champions League fixture, against 8.6 for Dortmund. Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Dortmund have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Bodo/Glimt average 3.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Dortmund 2.5 and 1.2. Bodo/Glimt have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Dortmund in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Bodo/Glimt have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Bodo/Glimt sit 36th on 0 points, Dortmund 14th on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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