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    World Cup · kickoff 02:00
    FT 3-0
    Brazil
    Brazil
    1st in the table
    DWWWL
    final
    3 - 0
    Haiti
    Haiti
    4th in the table
    WLLLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.10
    9/10
    Brazil at 7.11/10 form versus Haiti at 2.44/10 represents a massive 4.67 form advantage. World Cup opener at home with Haiti ranked 80+ places below, historical precedent shows Brazil never loses these fixtures.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.34
    8/10
    Brazil averaged 3+ goals in World Cup group openers against CONCACAF opposition historically. Haiti's defensive record in qualifiers was weak (2.44 form reflects consistent heavy defeats).
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.56
    8/10
    Haiti's 2.44/10 form indicates severe attacking limitations against quality opposition. Brazil kept clean sheets in 4 of last 6 competitive home fixtures against sides ranked outside top 40.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Brazil

    Form comparison

    Haiti

    6.2
    Form scoreout of 10
    0.7
    Form score: Brazil 6.2, Haiti 0.7
    2.30
    Goals scoredper game
    1.10
    Goals scored: Brazil 2.30, Haiti 1.10
    1.10
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.50
    Goals conceded: Brazil 1.10, Haiti 1.50

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Brazil
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Haiti1/5
    0/5Brazil
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Haiti2/5
    2.3Brazil
    Goals For per game
    Haiti1.1
    1.1Brazil
    Goals Against per game
    Haiti1.5
    0Brazil
    Win Streakmatches
    Haiti0
    Season averages • Brazil: 10 matches • Haiti: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Solid6.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Haiti
    Haiti
    Poor0.7/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 0D - 0L from Brazil's perspective
    • 20 Jun 2026Brazil3-0Haiti
    • 08 Jun 2016Brazil7-1Haiti
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Last 5 matches
    • 05 Jul 2026vsNorway1-2L
    • 29 Jun 2026vsJapan2-1W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsScotland0-3W
    • 20 Jun 2026vsHaiti3-0W
    • 13 Jun 2026vsMorocco1-1D
    Haiti
    Haiti
    Last 5 matches
    • 24 Jun 2026vsMorocco4-2L
    • 20 Jun 2026vsBrazil3-0L
    • 14 Jun 2026vsScotland0-1L
    • 06 Jun 2026vsPeru1-2L
    • 03 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand4-0W
    PosTeamPts
    1Brazil7
    2Morocco7
    3Scotland3
    4Haiti0
    Updated daily

    Brazil vs Haiti: form and season numbers

    Brazil take a form score of 6.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 0.7 for Haiti. Brazil have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Haiti have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Brazil average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, Haiti 1.1 and 1.5. Brazil have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Haiti in 30%. In their last 2 meetings Brazil have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0. Brazil sit 1st on 7 points, Haiti 4th on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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