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    World Cup · kickoff 23:00
    FT 1-1
    Brazil
    Brazil
    1st in the table
    DWWWL
    final
    1 - 1
    Morocco
    Morocco
    2nd in the table
    WWDWL
    We make it 2 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.66
    Safer: Brazil or draw at 1.15
    7/10
    Brazil's attacking quality and home continental advantage should overcome Morocco's solid defensive setup, though MD1 caution keeps this from higher confidence.
    GoalsWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.75
    6/10
    MD1 historical prior (59% Under 2.5) applies here. Morocco will sit deep, Brazil likely wins 2-0 or 1-0. Predicted 2-0 hits Under 2.5.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.75
    6/10
    Morocco unlikely to score against Brazil's defense in opener. Predicted 2-0 aligns with clean sheet for Brazil.

    Brazil

    Form comparison

    Morocco

    6.2
    Form scoreout of 10
    5.3
    Form score: Brazil 6.2, Morocco 5.3
    2.30
    Goals scoredper game
    2.20
    Goals scored: Brazil 2.30, Morocco 2.20
    1.10
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: Brazil 1.10, Morocco 0.80

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Brazil
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Morocco2/5
    0/5Brazil
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Morocco1/5
    2.3Brazil
    Goals For per game
    Morocco2.2
    1.1Brazil
    Goals Against per game
    Morocco0.8
    0Brazil
    Win Streakmatches
    Morocco0
    Season averages • Brazil: 10 matches • Morocco: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Solid6.2/10
    DWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Solid5.3/10
    WWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 1L from Brazil's perspective
    • 13 Jun 2026Brazil1-1Morocco
    • 25 Mar 2023Morocco2-1Brazil
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Last 5 matches
    • 05 Jul 2026vsNorway1-2L
    • 29 Jun 2026vsJapan2-1W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsScotland0-3W
    • 20 Jun 2026vsHaiti3-0W
    • 13 Jun 2026vsMorocco1-1D
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Last 5 matches
    • 09 Jul 2026vsFrance2-0L
    • 04 Jul 2026vsCanada0-3W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsNetherlands1-1D
    • 24 Jun 2026vsHaiti4-2W
    • 19 Jun 2026vsScotland0-1W
    PosTeamPts
    1Brazil7
    2Morocco7
    3Scotland3
    4Haiti0
    Updated daily

    Brazil vs Morocco: form and season numbers

    Brazil take a form score of 6.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 5.3 for Morocco. Brazil have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Morocco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Brazil average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, Morocco 2.2 and 0.8. Brazil have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Morocco in 40%. In their last 2 meetings Brazil have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1. Brazil sit 1st on 7 points, Morocco 2nd on 7.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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