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    Championship · kickoff 19:45
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    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    10th in the table
    LLWWD
    We make it
    1-1
    2.4 goals expected
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    13th in the table
    LLWDW

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match result
    Bristol City or Draw@ 1.25
    7/10
    Bristol City winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 70% between them. Only Blackburn Rovers winning beats it, at 30%.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.33
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 78%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 57%.
    Second goals lineValue
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.91
    5/10
    We make the total 2.4 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 57%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 31%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    43%
    Bristol City
    27%
    Draw
    30%
    Blackburn Rovers

    The market rates Bristol City at 48%, so we are 5 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.4 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.95
    X3.50
    23.67

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Bristol City

    Form comparison

    Blackburn Rovers

    4.9
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    5.0
    Form score: Bristol City 4.9, Blackburn Rovers 5.0
    1.40
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.50
    Goals scored: Bristol City 1.40, Blackburn Rovers 1.50
    1.30
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.50
    Goals conceded: Bristol City 1.30, Blackburn Rovers 1.50
    weak
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Bristol City weak, Blackburn Rovers mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Bristol City
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Blackburn Rovers0/5
    1/5Bristol City
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Blackburn Rovers0/5
    1.4Bristol City
    Goals For per game
    Blackburn Rovers1.5
    1.3Bristol City
    Goals Against per game
    Blackburn Rovers1.5
    1.4Bristol City
    Yellow Cards per game
    Blackburn Rovers2.2
    0.1Bristol City
    Red Cards per game
    Blackburn Rovers0.2
    0Bristol City
    Win Streakmatches
    Blackburn Rovers1
    Season averages • Bristol City: 10 matches • Blackburn Rovers: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    Mixed4.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    Solid5.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    5W - 2D - 3L from Bristol City's perspective
    • 24 Feb 2026Blackburn1-2Bristol City
    • 04 Nov 2025Bristol City0-1Blackburn
    • 25 Jan 2025Bristol City2-1Blackburn
    • 14 Sept 2024Blackburn3-0Bristol City
    • 10 Apr 2024Bristol City5-0Blackburn
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsCharlton1-1D
    • 03 Oct 2026vsCrystal Palace0-2W
    • 18 Sept 2026vsWatford1-0W
    • 15 Sept 2026vsLincoln0-1L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsSouthampton4-1L
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsCardiff2-1W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth2-2D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsMillwall3-1W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsSheffield Utd1-2L
    • 05 Sept 2026vsPreston2-1L
    PosTeamPts
    8Millwall14
    9West Bromwich Albion14
    10Bristol City14
    11Southampton13
    12Charlton Athletic13
    13Blackburn Rovers12
    14Sheffield United12
    15Wrexham AFC11
    Updated daily

    Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers: form and season numbers

    Bristol City take a form score of 4.9 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 5.0 for Blackburn Rovers. Bristol City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Blackburn Rovers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Bristol City average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Blackburn Rovers 1.5 and 1.5. Bristol City have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Blackburn Rovers in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Bristol City have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3. Bristol City sit 10th on 14 points, Blackburn Rovers 13th on 12.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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