Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Burnley
Form comparisonBirmingham City
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Burnley strong, Birmingham City mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 27 Dec 2022Burnley3-0Birmingham
- 19 Oct 2022Birmingham1-1Burnley
- 16 Apr 2016Birmingham1-2Burnley
- 15 Aug 2015Burnley2-2Birmingham
- 12 Mar 2014Birmingham3-3Burnley
- 19 Sept 2026vsDerby1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsSwansea3-1L
- 08 Sept 2026vsWrexham1-1D
- 05 Sept 2026vsBristol City1-2L
- 02 Sept 2026vsMiddlesbrough1-1D
- 19 Sept 2026vsMiddlesbrough2-2D
- 12 Sept 2026vsDerby1-2W
- 09 Sept 2026vsNorwich2-1L
- 06 Sept 2026vsWolves2-2D
- 01 Sept 2026vsSouthampton1-1D
Burnley vs Birmingham City: form and season numbers
Burnley take a form score of 3.4 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 5.2 for Birmingham City. Burnley have 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Birmingham City have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Burnley average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Birmingham City 1.4 and 1.7. Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Birmingham City in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Burnley have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3. Burnley sit 24th on 4 points, Birmingham City 10th on 11.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram