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    Championship · kickoff 19:45
    Upcoming
    Burnley
    Burnley
    22nd in the table
    LDLDW
    We make it
    1-1
    2.5 goals expected
    Charlton Athletic
    Charlton Athletic
    12th in the table
    LDDLD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultBanker
    Burnley or Draw@ 1.14
    9/10
    Burnley winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 80% between them. Only Charlton Athletic winning beats it, at 20%.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.36
    8/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 77%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 55%.
    Second goals lineValue
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.96
    5/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 55%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 30%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    55%
    Burnley
    25%
    Draw
    20%
    Charlton Athletic

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.61
    X3.92
    25.17

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Burnley

    Form comparison

    Charlton Athletic

    3.9
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    3.6
    Form score: Burnley 3.9, Charlton Athletic 3.6
    1.30
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    0.90
    Goals scored: Burnley 1.30, Charlton Athletic 0.90
    1.70
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.60
    Goals conceded: Burnley 1.70, Charlton Athletic 1.60
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Burnley mixed, Charlton Athletic mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Burnley
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Charlton Athletic2/5
    0/5Burnley
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Charlton Athletic3/5
    1.3Burnley
    Goals For per game
    Charlton Athletic0.9
    1.7Burnley
    Goals Against per game
    Charlton Athletic1.6
    1.6Burnley
    Yellow Cards per game
    Charlton Athletic1.1
    0.2Burnley
    Red Cards per game
    Charlton Athletic0.2
    1Burnley
    Win Streakmatches
    Charlton Athletic0
    Season averages • Burnley: 10 matches • Charlton Athletic: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Mixed3.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDLDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Charlton Athletic
    Charlton Athletic
    Mixed3.6/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDDLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Last 5 meetings
    5W - 0D - 1L from Burnley's perspective
    • 07 May 2016Charlton0-3Burnley
    • 19 Dec 2015Burnley4-0Charlton
    • 22 Mar 2014Charlton0-3Burnley
    • 28 Sept 2013Burnley3-0Charlton
    • 02 Mar 2013Charlton0-1Burnley
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsWatford0-4W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsDerby1-1D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsSwansea3-1L
    • 08 Sept 2026vsWrexham1-1D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsBristol City1-2L
    Charlton Athletic
    Charlton Athletic
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsBristol City1-1D
    • 19 Sept 2026vsCardiff3-1L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth0-0D
    • 09 Sept 2026vsQPR0-0D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsStoke City4-0L
    PosTeamPts
    10Bristol City14
    11Southampton13
    12Charlton Athletic13
    13Blackburn Rovers12
    14Sheffield United12
    20Watford8
    21Cardiff City7
    22Burnley7
    23Derby County6
    24Preston North End4
    Updated daily

    Burnley vs Charlton Athletic: form and season numbers

    Burnley take a form score of 3.9 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 3.6 for Charlton Athletic. Burnley have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Charlton Athletic have 3 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Burnley average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Charlton Athletic 0.9 and 1.6. Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Charlton Athletic in 30%. In their last 6 meetings Burnley have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1. Burnley sit 22nd on 7 points, Charlton Athletic 12th on 13.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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