Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Burnley
Form comparisonStoke City
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Burnley mixed, Stoke City weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 02 Aug 2025Stoke City1-0Burnley
- 01 Jan 2025Burnley0-0Stoke City
- 30 Nov 2024Stoke City0-2Burnley
- 30 Dec 2022Stoke City0-1Burnley
- 05 Oct 2022Burnley1-1Stoke City
- 16 Oct 2026vsWolves1-2L
- 13 Oct 2026vsCharlton2-2D
- 10 Oct 2026vsWatford0-4W
- 19 Sept 2026vsDerby1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsSwansea3-1L
- 17 Oct 2026vsDerby0-1W
- 13 Oct 2026vsMiddlesbrough2-3L
- 10 Oct 2026vsBolton1-2W
- 19 Sept 2026vsSheffield Utd2-1W
- 12 Sept 2026vsWatford1-2W
Burnley vs Stoke City: form and season numbers
Burnley take a form score of 3.5 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 6.1 for Stoke City. Burnley have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Stoke City have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Burnley average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Stoke City 1.7 and 1.2. Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Stoke City in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Burnley have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2. Burnley sit 22nd on 8 points, Stoke City 6th on 19.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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