

Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.
The market rates Sporting Gijón at 26%, so we are 7 points higher than the price implies.
Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Cádiz CF mixed, Sporting Gijón mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Cádiz CF take a form score of 4.8 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 4.0 for Sporting Gijón. Cádiz CF have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Sporting Gijón have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Cádiz CF average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Sporting Gijón 1.1 and 1.6. Cádiz CF have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Sporting Gijón in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Cádiz CF have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4. Cádiz CF sit 20th on 7 points, Sporting Gijón 8th on 13.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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