Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.
What we would back
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Form comparisonQatar
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 18 Jun 2026Canada6-0Qatar
- 23 Sept 2022Qatar0-2Canada
- 04 Jul 2026vsMorocco0-3L
- 28 Jun 2026vsSouth Africa0-1W
- 24 Jun 2026vsSwitzerland2-1L
- 18 Jun 2026vsQatar6-0W
- 12 Jun 2026vsBosnia & Herzegovina1-1D
- 24 Jun 2026vsBosnia & Herzegovina3-1L
- 18 Jun 2026vsCanada6-0L
- 13 Jun 2026vsSwitzerland1-1D
- 06 Jun 2026vsEl Salvador0-0D
- 28 May 2026vsRep. Of Ireland1-0L
Canada vs Qatar: form and season numbers
Canada take a form score of 4.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 1.1 for Qatar. Canada have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Qatar have 2 draws and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Canada average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Qatar 0.4 and 2.1. Canada have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Qatar in 14%. In their last 2 meetings Canada have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0. Canada sit 2nd on 4 points, Qatar 4th on 1.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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