Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Casa Pia mixed, Famalicão mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Casa Pia take a form score of 3.8 out of 10 into this Primeira Liga fixture, against 4.8 for Famalicão. Casa Pia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Famalicão have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Casa Pia average 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Famalicão 1.5 and 1.3. Casa Pia have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Famalicão in 40%. In their last 9 meetings Casa Pia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5. Casa Pia sit 16th on 8 points, Famalicão 10th on 13.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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