Back to all matches
    Primeira Liga · kickoff 15:30
    Casa Pia
    16th in the table
    LWWLD
    vs
    Nacional
    13th in the table
    LLWLW
    Predictions coming soon

    Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Casa Pia

    Form comparison

    Nacional

    3.8
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    2.4
    Form score: Casa Pia 3.8, Nacional 2.4
    0.70
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    0.70
    Goals scored: Casa Pia 0.70, Nacional 0.70
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.80
    Goals conceded: Casa Pia 1.20, Nacional 1.80
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Casa Pia mixed, Nacional mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Casa Pia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Nacional2/5
    2/5Casa Pia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Nacional2/5
    0.7Casa Pia
    Goals For per game
    Nacional0.7
    1.2Casa Pia
    Goals Against per game
    Nacional1.8
    2.0Casa Pia
    Yellow Cards per game
    Nacional1.3
    0.1Casa Pia
    Red Cards per game
    Nacional0.1
    0Casa Pia
    Win Streakmatches
    Nacional1
    Season averages • Casa Pia: 10 matches • Nacional: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Casa Pia
    Mixed3.8/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    0/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Nacional
    Poor2.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 10 meetings
    4W - 2D - 4L from Casa Pia's perspective
    • 08 Feb 2026Nacional0-0Casa Pia
    • 30 Aug 2025Casa Pia0-2Nacional
    • 16 Mar 2025Nacional3-1Casa Pia
    • 25 Oct 2024Casa Pia1-0Nacional
    • 25 Nov 2023Nacional0-0Casa Pia
    • 28 Sept 2023Casa Pia2-1Nacional
    • 09 Feb 2023Casa Pia2-5Nacional
    • 19 Feb 2022Casa Pia1-0Nacional
    • 19 Sept 2021Nacional1-2Casa Pia
    • 25 Nov 2020Casa Pia2-3Nacional
    Casa Pia
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Nov 2026vsAlverca1-1D
    • 30 Oct 2026vsSporting CP0-2L
    • 24 Oct 2026vsEstrela0-2W
    • 18 Oct 2026vsAlpendorada0-1W
    • 10 Oct 2026vsSanta Clara0-1L
    Nacional
    Last 5 matches
    • 08 Nov 2026vsAcademico Viseu1-0W
    • 01 Nov 2026vsArouca1-0L
    • 25 Oct 2026vsSC Braga1-0W
    • 17 Oct 2026vsSanjoanense1-0L
    • 11 Oct 2026vsRio Ave3-2L
    PosTeamPts
    ...
    11Alverca12
    12CF Estrela10
    13Nacional10
    14Vitória SC9
    15Maritimo8
    16Casa Pia8
    17Rio Ave FC7
    18Estoril2

    The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.

    Updated daily

    Casa Pia vs Nacional: form and season numbers

    Casa Pia take a form score of 3.8 out of 10 into this Primeira Liga fixture, against 2.4 for Nacional. Casa Pia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Nacional have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Casa Pia average 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Nacional 0.7 and 1.8. Casa Pia have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Nacional in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Casa Pia have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4. Casa Pia sit 16th on 8 points, Nacional 13th on 10.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

    Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops

    Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.

    Join the free Telegram