Celta Vigo B welcome Real Sociedad B on the back of a 2.9-point form gap that separates a side unbeaten in their last five from opponents who have won once in the same span. The hosts have compiled three wins and two draws across their recent run, scoring 9 and conceding 4, though three of those fixtures were competitive playoff ties and the other two were pre-season friendlies. Real Sociedad B arrive with a patchy 3.6 out of 10 weighted score, their lone win a 4-0 friendly success against PAU sandwiched between four defeats that yielded just one goal and conceded seven. All five of those matches were friendlies, which limits the diagnostic value, but the pattern is clear enough.

Real Sociedad B failed to score in three of their last five and kept a clean sheet in only one, a narrow profile that leaves little margin against a side who have found the net in four of their own five and held two clean sheets. The visitors averaged 14.4 shots and 4.6 on target per match across their five-game sample, with 49.4 percent possession and 1.37 expected goals, figures that describe control without punch. Celta Vigo B scored four against Ponferradina at home in June and followed it with a 3-2 win over Europa in the same playoff window, both suggesting they can hurt sides in front of their own crowd when the tempo lifts.

The head to head over the last four meetings splits 2-1 in Real Sociedad B's favour with one draw, and the aggregate is 2.0 goals per fixture. Both teams scored in two of four, and over 2.5 goals landed in half. Real Sociedad B won 2-0 at home in May 2025, but before that Celta Vigo B took a 2-1 home victory in January of the same year, and the two meetings in 2024 and 2023 each went Real Sociedad B's way by the narrowest margin or ended level. The sequence offers no template, only the suggestion that neither side dominates the other across time.

The gulf in recent momentum points toward a home result, particularly given Real Sociedad B's anaemic scoring run and the fact that Celta Vigo B have not lost in five. The head to head record cautions against writing the visitors off entirely, but two of their three wins came at their own ground, and the one home defeat for Celta Vigo B in this sample was a 2-1 reverse 18 months ago. Real Sociedad B's 40 percent failure rate in finding the net across their five-match sample sits uncomfortably against a Celta Vigo B side who conceded just four in the same window. The form trend and the goals data converge on a Celta Vigo B outcome, though the history warns it may be tighter than the recent numbers alone suggest.