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    Championship · kickoff 12:30
    FT 1-1
    Charlton Athletic
    Charlton Athletic
    10th in the table
    LDDLD
    final
    1 - 1
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    8th in the table
    LLWWD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Charlton Athletic or Draw@ 1.60
    6/10
    Charlton Athletic winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 62% between them. Only Bristol City winning beats it, at 38%.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.26
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 80%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 60%.
    Second goals lineWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.73
    5/10
    We make the total 2.3 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 60%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 33%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    34%
    Charlton Athletic
    28%
    Draw
    38%
    Bristol City

    The market rates Charlton Athletic at 30%, so we are 4 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.3 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    13.13
    X3.25
    22.26

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Charlton Athletic

    Form comparison

    Bristol City

    3.6
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    4.8
    Form score: Charlton Athletic 3.6, Bristol City 4.8
    0.90
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.40
    Goals scored: Charlton Athletic 0.90, Bristol City 1.40
    1.60
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.30
    Goals conceded: Charlton Athletic 1.60, Bristol City 1.30
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    weak

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Charlton Athletic mixed, Bristol City weak

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Charlton Athletic
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Bristol City2/5
    3/5Charlton Athletic
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Bristol City1/5
    0.9Charlton Athletic
    Goals For per game
    Bristol City1.4
    1.6Charlton Athletic
    Goals Against per game
    Bristol City1.3
    1.1Charlton Athletic
    Yellow Cards per game
    Bristol City1.4
    0.2Charlton Athletic
    Red Cards per game
    Bristol City0.1
    0Charlton Athletic
    Win Streakmatches
    Bristol City0
    Season averages • Charlton Athletic: 10 matches • Bristol City: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Charlton Athletic
    Charlton Athletic
    Mixed3.6/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDDLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    Mixed4.8/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    3W - 3D - 3L from Charlton Athletic's perspective
    • 10 Oct 2026Charlton1-1Bristol City
    • 03 Apr 2026Charlton1-2Bristol City
    • 16 Aug 2025Bristol City0-0Charlton
    • 26 Dec 2019Charlton3-2Bristol City
    • 23 Oct 2019Bristol City2-1Charlton
    Charlton Athletic
    Charlton Athletic
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsBristol City1-1D
    • 19 Sept 2026vsCardiff3-1L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth0-0D
    • 09 Sept 2026vsQPR0-0D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsStoke City4-0L
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsCharlton1-1D
    • 03 Oct 2026vsCrystal Palace0-2W
    • 18 Sept 2026vsWatford1-0W
    • 15 Sept 2026vsLincoln0-1L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsSouthampton4-1L
    PosTeamPts
    6Birmingham City14
    7West Bromwich Albion14
    8Bristol City14
    9Stoke City13
    10Charlton Athletic13
    11Millwall11
    12Lincoln City11
    Updated daily

    Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City: form and season numbers

    Charlton Athletic take a form score of 3.6 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 4.8 for Bristol City. Charlton Athletic have 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Bristol City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Charlton Athletic average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Bristol City 1.4 and 1.3. Charlton Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Bristol City in 20%. In their last 9 meetings Charlton Athletic have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3. Charlton Athletic sit 10th on 13 points, Bristol City 8th on 14.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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