Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Charlton Athletic mixed, Southampton mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Charlton Athletic take a form score of 2.6 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 7.6 for Southampton. Charlton Athletic have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Charlton Athletic average 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Southampton 1.8 and 0.9. Charlton Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Southampton in 30%. In their last 2 meetings Charlton Athletic have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1. Charlton Athletic sit 19th on 17 points, Southampton 7th on 24.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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