Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Chelsea
Form comparisonAston Villa
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Chelsea strong, Aston Villa mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 04 Mar 2026Aston Villa1-4Chelsea
- 27 Dec 2025Chelsea1-2Aston Villa
- 22 Feb 2025Aston Villa2-1Chelsea
- 01 Dec 2024Chelsea3-0Aston Villa
- 27 Apr 2024Aston Villa2-2Chelsea
- 17 Oct 2026vsEverton0-2W
- 10 Oct 2026vsBournemouth5-1W
- 18 Sept 2026vsBrentford3-0L
- 12 Sept 2026vsHull City2-2D
- 09 Sept 2026vsLeeds6-3W
- 17 Oct 2026vsNewcastle0-1W
- 14 Oct 2026vsFenerbahçe6-0W
- 10 Oct 2026vsBrentford2-2D
- 02 Oct 2026vsSevilla1-3W
- 19 Sept 2026vsTottenham2-3W
Chelsea vs Aston Villa: form and season numbers
Chelsea take a form score of 7.9 out of 10 into this Premier League fixture, against 7.5 for Aston Villa. Chelsea have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Aston Villa have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Chelsea average 2.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Aston Villa 2.2 and 1.1. Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Aston Villa in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Chelsea have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5. Chelsea sit 4th on 13 points, Aston Villa 12th on 8.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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