Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Chelsea
Form comparisonNewcastle United
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Chelsea mixed, Newcastle United mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 14 Mar 2026Chelsea0-1Newcastle
- 20 Dec 2025Newcastle2-2Chelsea
- 11 May 2025Newcastle2-0Chelsea
- 30 Oct 2024Newcastle2-0Chelsea
- 27 Oct 2024Chelsea2-1Newcastle
- 11 Mar 2024Chelsea3-2Newcastle
- 19 Dec 2023Chelsea1-1Newcastle
- 25 Nov 2023Newcastle4-1Chelsea
- 27 Jul 2023Newcastle1-1Chelsea
- 28 May 2023Chelsea1-1Newcastle
- 08 Nov 2026vsSunderland1-0L
- 31 Oct 2026vsManchester United2-0W
- 28 Oct 2026vsLiverpool1-1D
- 24 Oct 2026vsTottenham0-2L
- 17 Oct 2026vsEverton0-2W
- 07 Nov 2026vsFulham1-1D
- 02 Nov 2026vsEverton0-1L
- 29 Oct 2026vsEverton3-1L
- 25 Oct 2026vsCrystal Palace0-2W
- 17 Oct 2026vsAston Villa0-1L
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Chelsea vs Newcastle United: form and season numbers
Chelsea take a form score of 5.9 out of 10 into this Premier League fixture, against 3.0 for Newcastle United. Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 competitive matches, while Newcastle United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Chelsea average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Newcastle United 1.1 and 1.7. Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Newcastle United in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Chelsea have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4. Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points, Newcastle United 12th on 12.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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