

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Clermont mixed, Red Star weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Clermont take a form score of 4.7 out of 10 into this Ligue 2 fixture, against 4.8 for Red Star. Clermont have 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Red Star have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Clermont average 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Red Star 1.3 and 1.2. Clermont have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches this season, Red Star in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Clermont have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3. Clermont sit 16th on 2 points, Red Star 6th on 5.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Red Star arrive at Clermont carrying momentum from their opening-day victory, a 1-0 win away to Nantes that lifted them to 6th in the Ligue 2 table and established a five-place, two-point cushion over their hosts. Clermont opened with a goalless draw at home to Reims and sit 11th on a single point, their campaign yet to yield a goal in either direction. That contrast in early outcomes underpins a fixture where one side has already claimed maximum points and the other is still searching for a first goal of the season.
Clermont's pre-season brought three draws and a defeat, all at home, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded across the four friendlies. That cautious profile carried into competitive action, the 0-0 against Reims extending a run to 1 clean sheet in 4 matches but also marking their second successive blank. They managed 44 percent of clean sheets in a three-match sample that spans the new campaign and late friendlies, yet failed to score in 33 percent of those outings. Formatic's weighted form score of 6.1 out of 10 labels them steady rather than sharp, a side whose defensive solidity has not yet translated into attacking reward.
Red Star's summer was more volatile, three friendly wins producing 10 goals but two defeats exposing a backline that conceded 8 across five warm-up fixtures. They scored in all five pre-season matches and kept just 1 clean sheet in that span, then tightened up when it mattered to take three points at Nantes without reply. Their season profile shows 53.7 percent possession, 12.7 shots and 4 on target per game, figures drawn from a three-match sample that includes the Nantes result. A form score of 5 out of 10 suggests consistency rather than brilliance, but the visitors have already demonstrated they can convert territorial control into points.
The head-to-head record across the last 10 meetings shows Red Star with 3 wins to Clermont's 2 and 5 draws, an even spread that has produced 2.2 goals per game. The most recent clash in March 2026 went Red Star's way 1-0, and three of the five itemised fixtures ended level at 1-1 or 2-2. Both teams scored in 5 of the 10 and the over 2.5 goals line cleared in 4, suggesting these sides tend toward tight affairs with occasional scoring bursts. Clermont's heaviest win in the sequence came in March 2019, a 4-0 home victory over Red Star that stands as an outlier in a series otherwise characterised by narrow margins.
The price and the numbers align around a low-scoring encounter between two sides still calibrating after summer rebuilds. Red Star's superior possession and shot volume give them an edge in the creation metrics, but Clermont's defensive organisation at home and the lack of goals in their opener point to a contest settled by a single moment. With Clermont yet to score this season and Red Star having netted only once, the fixture carries the imprint of their recent head-to-head meetings: competitive, close and likely decided by whichever side breaks the defensive pattern first.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram