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    World Cup · kickoff 03:00
    FT 1-0
    Colombia
    Colombia
    1st in the table
    WWDWD
    final
    1 - 0
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    LDLWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.49
    8/10
    Colombia dominant with 8/10 form vs Congo DR's weak 3.78/10. Colombia averaging 2.5 GPG and home advantage in World Cup opener gives them clear edge against defensively vulnerable opposition.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.22
    7/10
    Colombia should control this match but Congo DR's poor attacking output (1.2 GPG) limits goal potential. Expect efficient Colombian win without needing high-scoring display.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.57
    7/10
    Congo DR averaging just 1.2 GPG with 3.78/10 form suggests minimal threat. World Cup pressure typically tightens defenses in opening fixtures, especially for favorites like Colombia.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 2 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Colombia

    Form comparison

    Congo DR

    6.4
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.1
    Form score: Colombia 6.4, Congo DR 3.1
    1.50
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: Colombia 1.50, Congo DR 1.20
    0.70
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: Colombia 0.70, Congo DR 0.80

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    4/5Colombia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Congo DR0/5
    2/5Colombia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Congo DR1/5
    1.5Colombia
    Goals For per game
    Congo DR1.2
    0.7Colombia
    Goals Against per game
    Congo DR0.8
    0Colombia
    Win Streakmatches
    Congo DR0
    Season averages • Colombia: 10 matches • Congo DR: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Colombia
    Colombia
    Solid6.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWDWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    4/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    Mixed3.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Colombia's perspective
    • 24 Jun 2026Colombia1-0Congo DR
    Colombia
    Colombia
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland0-0D
    • 04 Jul 2026vsGhana1-0W
    • 27 Jun 2026vsPortugal0-0D
    • 24 Jun 2026vsCongo DR1-0W
    • 18 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan1-3W
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsEngland2-1L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan3-1W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsColombia1-0L
    • 17 Jun 2026vsPortugal1-1D
    • 09 Jun 2026vsChile1-2L
    PosTeamPts
    1Colombia7
    2Portugal5
    3DR Congo4
    Updated daily

    Colombia vs Congo DR: form and season numbers

    Colombia take a form score of 6.4 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.1 for Congo DR. Colombia have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, while Congo DR have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Colombia average 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Congo DR 1.2 and 0.8. Colombia have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches this season, Congo DR in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Colombia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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