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    World Cup · kickoff 00:30
    FT 0-0
    Colombia
    Colombia
    1st in the table
    WWDWD
    final
    0 - 0
    Portugal
    Portugal
    2nd in the table
    DWDWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultPush, stake returned
    DNB Portugal@ 1.38
    7/10
    Portugal's 7.33/10 form and 2.2 GPG away edges Colombia's 8/10 home form. World Cup knockout stage, Portugal have deeper squad depth and tournament experience. DNB Away at 1.38 offers push protection in a potential extra-time scenario.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.97
    8/10
    Colombia averaging 2.5 GPG at home, Portugal 2.2 GPG away. Both sides attack-minded, 3 total goals aligns with combined output and World Cup knockout urgency driving open play.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 1.88
    7/10
    Colombia's 2.5 GPG at home suggests they'll find the net. Portugal concede on the road even in strong form (7.33/10 indicates some defensive gaps). World Cup knockout matches rarely see shutouts.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how the market sees it finishing
    23%
    Colombia
    26%
    Draw
    51%
    Portugal

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    14.00
    X3.58
    21.86

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Colombia

    Form comparison

    Portugal

    6.4
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.9
    Form score: Colombia 6.4, Portugal 4.9
    1.50
    Goals scoredper game
    2.30
    Goals scored: Colombia 1.50, Portugal 2.30
    0.70
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.60
    Goals conceded: Colombia 0.70, Portugal 0.60

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    4/5Colombia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Portugal2/5
    2/5Colombia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Portugal2/5
    1.5Colombia
    Goals For per game
    Portugal2.3
    0.7Colombia
    Goals Against per game
    Portugal0.6
    0Colombia
    Win Streakmatches
    Portugal0
    Season averages • Colombia: 10 matches • Portugal: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Colombia
    Colombia
    Solid6.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWDWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    4/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Mixed4.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Colombia's perspective
    • 27 Jun 2026Colombia0-0Portugal
    Colombia
    Colombia
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland0-0D
    • 04 Jul 2026vsGhana1-0W
    • 27 Jun 2026vsPortugal0-0D
    • 24 Jun 2026vsCongo DR1-0W
    • 18 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan1-3W
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Last 5 matches
    • 06 Jul 2026vsSpain0-1L
    • 02 Jul 2026vsCroatia2-1W
    • 27 Jun 2026vsColombia0-0D
    • 23 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan5-0W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsCongo DR1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1Colombia7
    2Portugal5
    3DR Congo4
    4Uzbekistan0
    Updated daily

    Colombia vs Portugal: form and season numbers

    Colombia take a form score of 6.4 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.9 for Portugal. Colombia have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, while Portugal have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Colombia average 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Portugal 2.3 and 0.6. Colombia have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches this season, Portugal in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Colombia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Colombia sit 1st on 7 points, Portugal 2nd on 5.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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