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    World Cup · kickoff 00:30
    FT 3-1
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    LDLWL
    final
    3 - 1
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    4th in the table
    LLLLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.73
    Safer: Congo DR or draw at 1.21
    7/10
    Congo DR hold a significant form advantage (3.78 vs 1.11) despite modest scoring output. Uzbekistan's dire away form (1.11/10) suggests defensive fragility, and home odds of 1.79 reflect Congo DR's edge in a must-win World Cup group stage match.
    GoalsLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.91
    7/10
    Both sides averaging 1.2-1.4 GPG with Congo DR typically grinding results. Uzbekistan's poor form (1.11/10) suggests they'll struggle to create chances, and World Cup group stage matches between these profiles often stay tight and low-scoring.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.89
    7/10
    Uzbekistan's abysmal away form (1.11/10) indicates they'll struggle to find the net. Congo DR's defensive approach at 1.2 GPG scored suggests they'll look to secure a clean sheet in this crucial World Cup fixture.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how the market sees it finishing
    54%
    Congo DR
    24%
    Draw
    22%
    Uzbekistan

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 1 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.73
    X4.00
    24.33

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Congo DR

    Form comparison

    Uzbekistan

    3.1
    Form scoreout of 10
    0.0
    Form score: Congo DR 3.1, Uzbekistan 0.0
    1.20
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: Congo DR 1.20, Uzbekistan 1.20
    0.80
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    2.00
    Goals conceded: Congo DR 0.80, Uzbekistan 2.00

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Congo DR
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Uzbekistan0/5
    1/5Congo DR
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Uzbekistan2/5
    1.2Congo DR
    Goals For per game
    Uzbekistan1.2
    0.8Congo DR
    Goals Against per game
    Uzbekistan2.0
    0Congo DR
    Win Streakmatches
    Uzbekistan0
    Season averages • Congo DR: 10 matches • Uzbekistan: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    Mixed3.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    Poor0.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Congo DR's perspective
    • 27 Jun 2026Congo DR3-1Uzbekistan
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsEngland2-1L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan3-1W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsColombia1-0L
    • 17 Jun 2026vsPortugal1-1D
    • 09 Jun 2026vsChile1-2L
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsCongo DR3-1L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsPortugal5-0L
    • 18 Jun 2026vsColombia1-3L
    • 08 Jun 2026vsNetherlands2-1L
    • 02 Jun 2026vsCanada2-0L
    PosTeamPts
    2Portugal5
    3DR Congo4
    4Uzbekistan0
    Updated daily

    Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: form and season numbers

    Congo DR take a form score of 3.1 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 0.0 for Uzbekistan. Congo DR have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Uzbekistan have 5 defeats in theirs. Across the season Congo DR average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Uzbekistan 1.2 and 2.0. Congo DR have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Uzbekistan in 20%. In their last 1 meeting Congo DR have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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