Cremonese sit rooted to the foot of Serie B on 0 points from 2 matches, 5 places and 1 point behind Benevento, whose single draw keeps them in 15th. The hosts have conceded 4 goals and scored none in league action, shipping 2.00 per game while managing nothing at the other end. That barren run includes a 3-0 home defeat to table-topping Modena and a 1-0 loss at Empoli, results that leave them four points adrift of the safety zone already. Their only victory in the last three came in the Coppa Italia, a 2-0 home win over Sampdoria that offers scant consolation given the league crisis.

Benevento arrive with a markedly different goals profile. They have scored in all 5 of their recent outings, netting 10 times across that span, and conceded 12 in return. The visitors opened their league campaign with a 2-1 home defeat to Modena before salvaging a 1-1 draw at home to Sudtirol, a result that secured their only point. Pre-season and cup commitments produced high-scoring affairs, including a 5-3 Coppa Italia win over Ravenna and a 4-1 cup loss at Fiorentina, reinforcing the trend. Formatic's weighted form score awards Benevento 6 out of 10, labelled steady, against Cremonese's 4.4, a gap of 1.6 in the visitors' favour.

The season profiles underline the gulf. Cremonese manage 7.2 shots and 2.4 on target per match from a 5-game sample, with 47 percent possession and an expected goals figure of 0.55 per outing. They have failed to score in 38 percent of those contests despite keeping a clean sheet in half. Benevento, drawn from a 3-match sample, average 16.3 shots and 3.3 on target with 52.7 percent of the ball. Crucially, they have failed to score in 0 percent of games but have kept a clean sheet in only 20 percent, suggesting openness at both ends.

The head to head record across the last 6 meetings shows Benevento with 3 wins to Cremonese's 1 and 2 draws. The fixtures have averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of 6 and over 2.5 goals landing in just 1 of 6. The most recent two were 1-1 draws in March and October 2021, while Benevento won 1-0 in June 2020 and 2-0 in October 2019. Cremonese's sole success came 1-0 in March 2019. That pattern points to tight contests, yet the current form gap and Cremonese's empty league account suggest a different script this time. With the hosts yet to trouble the scorers in Serie B and Benevento finding the net in every outing, a low-scoring affair looks less likely than the historical trend implies, and the value tilts firmly toward the visitors to extend Cremonese's winless start.