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    Serie B · kickoff 19:30
    Upcoming
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    18th in the table
    DWL
    vs
    Modena
    Modena
    4th in the table
    DLW
    how we see it finishing
    45%
    Cremonese
    27%
    Draw
    28%
    Modena

    The market rates Modena at 21%, so we are 7 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 1 - 1
    most likely scores1-113%ours1-012%2-19%0-19%2-09%

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.84
    X3.30
    24.55

    How this scoreline is calculated

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultTop Pick
    Cremonese or Draw@ 1.20
    8/10
    Cremonese winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 72% between them. Only Modena winning beats it, at 28%.
    GoalsValue
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.58
    5/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 55%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 30%.
    Second goals lineBanker
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.19
    8/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 77%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 55%.

    Top Pick is the selection our model backs most strongly on this match, not the longest price. It is often a short one. Banker is the shortest priced call we rate highly, and Value the longest. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    Cremonese

    Form comparison

    Modena

    6.1
    Form scoreout of 10
    5.2
    Form score: Cremonese 6.1, Modena 5.2
    1.50
    Goals scoredper game, last 8
    1.25
    Goals scored: Cremonese 1.50, Modena 1.25
    0.75
    Goals concededper game, last 8, lower is better
    0.88
    Goals conceded: Cremonese 0.75, Modena 0.88
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 8
    weak

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Cremonese mixed, Modena weak

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/3Cremonese
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Modena1/3
    2/3Cremonese
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Modena1/3
    1.5Cremonese
    Goals For per game
    Modena1.3
    0.8Cremonese
    Goals Against per game
    Modena0.9
    0Cremonese
    Win Streakmatches
    Modena1
    Season averages • Cremonese: 8 matches • Modena: 8 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    Solid6.1/10
    DWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    0/3
    BTTS
    0/3
    Clean sheet
    2/3
    Scored in
    1/3
    Modena
    Modena
    Solid5.2/10
    DLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/3
    BTTS
    2/3
    Clean sheet
    1/3
    Scored in
    2/3
    Last 5 meetings
    3W - 2D - 0L from Cremonese's perspective
    • 26 Jan 2025Cremonese2-2Modena
    • 29 Oct 2024Modena2-2Cremonese
    • 03 Mar 2024Modena0-1Cremonese
    • 23 Dec 2023Cremonese4-0Modena
    • 20 Oct 2022Cremonese4-2Modena
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    Last 5 matches
    • 22 Aug 2026vsEmpoli1-0L
    • 17 Aug 2026vsSampdoria2-0W
    • 01 Aug 2026vsLumezzane0-0D
    Modena
    Modena
    Last 5 matches
    • 22 Aug 2026vsBenevento1-2W
    • 15 Aug 2026vsVenezia3-2L
    • 08 Aug 2026vsVis Pesaro0-0D
    PosTeamPts
    2Ascoli3
    3Mantova3
    4Modena3
    5Arezzo3
    6Padova3
    16Hellas Verona0
    17Pisa0
    18Cremonese0
    19Virtus Entella0
    20Juve Stabia-
    Updated daily

    Cremonese vs Modena: form and season numbers

    Cremonese take a form score of 6.1 out of 10 into this Serie B fixture, against 5.2 for Modena. Cremonese have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3, while Modena have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Cremonese average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Modena 1.3 and 0.9. Cremonese have kept a clean sheet in 63% of their matches this season, Modena in 38%. In their last 5 meetings Cremonese have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0. Cremonese sit 18th on 0 points, Modena 4th on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

    Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops

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