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    World Cup · kickoff 22:00
    FT 2-1
    Croatia
    Croatia
    2nd in the table
    WLWWL
    final
    2 - 1
    Ghana
    Ghana
    3rd in the table
    DWDLL

    The model's forecast cards

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Double chanceWin
    Croatia/Draw@ 1.36
    5/10
    GoalsLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.57
    6/10
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 2.05
    6/10

    Top Pick is the card the previous engine flagged on this match, under that engine's own rule, which has since been replaced. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how the market sees it finishing
    54%
    Croatia
    29%
    Draw
    17%
    Ghana

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.78
    X3.25
    25.50

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Croatia

    Form comparison

    Ghana

    5.3
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.2
    Form score: Croatia 5.3, Ghana 2.2
    1.70
    Goals scoredper game
    0.50
    Goals scored: Croatia 1.70, Ghana 0.50
    1.70
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.60
    Goals conceded: Croatia 1.70, Ghana 1.60

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Croatia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Ghana2/5
    0/5Croatia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Ghana2/5
    1.7Croatia
    Goals For per game
    Ghana0.5
    1.7Croatia
    Goals Against per game
    Ghana1.6
    0Croatia
    Win Streakmatches
    Ghana0
    Season averages • Croatia: 10 matches • Ghana: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Solid5.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Ghana
    Ghana
    Poor2.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last meeting
    1W - 0D - 0L from Croatia's perspective
    • 27 Jun 2026Croatia2-1Ghana
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Last 5 matches
    • 02 Jul 2026vsPortugal2-1L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsGhana2-1W
    • 23 Jun 2026vsPanama0-1W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsEngland4-2L
    • 07 Jun 2026vsSlovenia2-1W
    Ghana
    Ghana
    Last 5 matches
    • 04 Jul 2026vsColombia1-0L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsCroatia2-1L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsEngland0-0D
    • 17 Jun 2026vsPanama1-0W
    • 02 Jun 2026vsWales1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1England7
    2Croatia6
    3Ghana4
    4Panama0
    Updated daily

    Croatia vs Ghana: form and season numbers

    Croatia take a form score of 5.3 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.2 for Ghana. Croatia have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Ghana have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Croatia average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Ghana 0.5 and 1.6. Croatia have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Ghana in 20%. In their last 1 meeting Croatia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Croatia sit 2nd on 6 points, Ghana 3rd on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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