Crystal Palace begin this campaign at the foot of the Premier League table with 0 points from 1 match, sitting 17th after a 0-2 defeat at Everton in their opening fixture. Newcastle United occupy 11th with 1 point, 6 places and 1 point above their hosts, having drawn 2-2 at home to Liverpool. The table gap is narrow but the opening results set different tones: Palace yet to score or claim a point, Newcastle twice on the scoresheet and already off the mark.

The home side's patchy form score of 3.9 out of 10 reflects a mixed pre-season and that blank against Everton. Across their last 5 fixtures Palace have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2, scoring 5 and conceding 7. They found the net in just 2 of those 5 and managed a single clean sheet, the goalless draw away to Famalicao in the Como Cup. Their competitive start brought nothing, and half of their recent sample saw them fail to score. Palace average 8.3 shots and 2.7 on target per match across a 3-game sample, with 44.3 percent possession and 1.73 expected goals per outing. They have kept a clean sheet in 20 percent of that window but drawn a blank themselves in 50 percent.

Newcastle carry a form rating of 4.4 out of 10, also described as patchy, but they have scored in all 5 of their last matches. That run totals 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 7 scored and 9 conceded, and they have yet to register a clean sheet. Every one of those 5 appearances saw them concede, including the 2-2 at home to Liverpool and a 1-2 reverse at home to Bayer Leverkusen in a friendly. Over their 3-match sample Newcastle average 11.7 shots and 4.3 on target per game, with 49.7 percent possession and 1.15 expected goals. They have kept a clean sheet in 10 percent of recent outings but failed to score in the same proportion, meaning goals at both ends are their most common outcome.

The head to head across the last 10 meetings shows Newcastle with 4 wins to Palace's 2 and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals per fixture. Both teams scored in only 2 of those 10, and just 3 crossed the 2.5-goal line. The itemised results tell a volatile story: Newcastle won 5-0 in April 2025 and 2-0 in January 2026, Palace responded with a 2-1 home win in April 2026, and the sides drew 1-1 in November 2024 and 2-0 in Palace's favour in April 2024. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of 10, suggesting this fixture often sits below the standard total line.

Palace have no points and no goals in the league. Newcastle have scored in every recent outing but conceded in every one too. The sample sizes are slender at this stage of the season, but the numbers point toward a low-scoring affair that could swing on which side corrects their defensive record first. With 1.9 goals per head to head meeting and Newcastle's slight edge in the table and form rating, the visitors look the marginal call if the market treats this as a pick'em. The home side's failure to score in half their recent fixtures and their 0-2 blank in the one league match may prove the deciding factor if that pattern continues.