

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Deportivo La Coruña mixed, Levante strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Deportivo La Coruña take a form score of 5.9 out of 10 into this La Liga fixture, against 5.4 for Levante. Deportivo La Coruña have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Levante have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Deportivo La Coruña average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Levante 1.5 and 1.3. Deportivo La Coruña have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Levante in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Deportivo La Coruña have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3. Deportivo La Coruña sit 10th on 1 point, Levante 20th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Deportivo La Coruña welcome Levante with a 12-place cushion already opened after a single round, the hosts sitting 7th on 1 point while their visitors prop up the division in 19th with none. That chasm owes everything to opening weekend, where Deportivo drew 1-1 at home to Elche while Levante were dismantled 0-3 away to Espanyol. The scoreline flattered neither side's pre-season rhythm, but it has left one team nursing a goal difference of minus three and the other level, and in a 20-team table those early margins carry weight.
Deportivo's last five outings show 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, returning 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. Four of those matches were friendlies, the only competitive fixture being the Elche stalemate, so the sample is light. They have scored in 4 of 5 and kept 1 clean sheet across the run. Their season profile over 3 matches registers 7.7 shots per game, 3 on target, 2 corners and 39.7 percent possession, with a clean sheet rate of 50 percent but a failure to score in 20 percent of outings. Formatic's weighted form score of 6.1 out of 10 labels them steady, a designation that fits a side yet to shake off pre-season rust but also yet to collapse.
Levante arrive on 5.4 out of 10, also classified as steady despite the opening day beating. Their last five produced 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, all but the Espanyol reverse coming in friendlies. They scored 6 and conceded 6, finding the net in 3 of 5 and managing 1 clean sheet. Over a 4-match sample their season averages climb to 12 shots per game, 4 on target, 4.2 corners and 38.5 percent possession, with 1.63 expected goals per outing. They have failed to score in 20 percent of games and kept clean sheets in 20 percent, numbers that suggest attacking intent met by defensive fragility. The Espanyol result underlined both traits: no shots converted, three conceded.
The last 10 meetings split 3 wins apiece and 4 draws, averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 6 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in the same proportion. The most recent pair both went Levante's way, 1-2 in January 2025 and 2-1 in October 2024, while the three before that were a pair of 2-2 stalemates in 2017 and a 2-1 Deportivo win in March 2016. The pattern leans attacking and the outcomes remain open, but Levante hold the psychological edge from those last two results.
Deportivo's 12-place advantage and home setting contrast sharply with Levante's opening capitulation, yet the form gap sits at just 0.7 and both sides carry steady labels. The goals profile hints at entertainment, with 6 of the last 10 head to heads clearing 2.5 and both teams on the scoresheet in the same proportion. Levante's 1.63 expected goals per game and Deportivo's 50 percent clean sheet rate over their small samples point to a fixture that turns on whether the visitors can convert their volume of chances or whether the hosts' defensive solidity, established over three outings, holds for a second competitive outing. The table says one thing, the form bands another, and the value likely sits in reconciling that tension.
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