Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Derby County
Form comparisonWatford
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Derby County mixed, Watford strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 21 Feb 2026Watford2-0Derby
- 22 Nov 2025Derby2-3Watford
- 18 Jan 2025Derby0-2Watford
- 24 Aug 2024Watford2-1Derby
- 19 Feb 2021Watford2-1Derby
- 19 Sept 2026vsBurnley1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBirmingham1-2L
- 09 Sept 2026vsWest Brom0-1L
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Ham3-0L
- 01 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth0-2W
- 18 Sept 2026vsBristol City1-0L
- 12 Sept 2026vsStoke City1-2L
- 08 Sept 2026vsPreston2-1W
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Brom1-0L
- 01 Sept 2026vsSwansea2-0L
Derby County vs Watford: form and season numbers
Derby County take a form score of 2.3 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 3.2 for Watford. Derby County have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Watford have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Derby County average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Watford 0.9 and 1.5. Derby County have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Watford in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Derby County have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6. Derby County sit 22nd on 5 points, Watford 20th on 8.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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