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    Ligue 2 · kickoff 19:45
    Upcoming
    Dijon
    Dijon
    10th in the table
    LDWWD
    We make it
    1-2
    2.5 goals expected
    FC Metz
    FC Metz
    9th in the table
    DDWLD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultTop Pick
    FC Metz or Draw@ 1.44
    6/10
    FC Metz winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 65% between them. Only Dijon winning beats it, at 35%.
    GoalsBanker
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.20
    8/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Over 1.5 Goals lands 72%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 46%.
    Draw no betValue
    FC Metz@ 1.80
    4/10
    A draw refunds this pick instead of losing it, and we make the draw 27%. That leaves Dijon winning, at 35%, as the only way this loses.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    35%
    Dijon
    27%
    Draw
    38%
    FC Metz

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.66
    X3.50
    22.40

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Dijon

    Form comparison

    FC Metz

    5.5
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    5.9
    Form score: Dijon 5.5, FC Metz 5.9
    1.70
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.80
    Goals scored: Dijon 1.70, FC Metz 1.80
    1.40
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.20
    Goals conceded: Dijon 1.40, FC Metz 1.20
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Dijon mixed, FC Metz mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Dijon
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    FC Metz0/5
    0/5Dijon
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    FC Metz1/5
    1.7Dijon
    Goals For per game
    FC Metz1.8
    1.4Dijon
    Goals Against per game
    FC Metz1.2
    1.7Dijon
    Yellow Cards per game
    FC Metz1.7
    0Dijon
    Win Streakmatches
    FC Metz0
    Season averages • Dijon: 10 matches • FC Metz: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Dijon
    Dijon
    Solid5.5/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    FC Metz
    FC Metz
    Solid5.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DDWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 4D - 3L from Dijon's perspective
    • 18 Feb 2023Dijon0-0Metz
    • 27 Aug 2022Metz1-2Dijon
    • 02 May 2021Dijon1-5Metz
    • 08 Nov 2020Metz1-1Dijon
    • 07 Aug 2020Dijon1-2Metz
    Dijon
    Dijon
    Last 5 matches
    • 02 Oct 2026vsEstac Troyes2-2D
    • 18 Sept 2026vsAnnecy1-2W
    • 11 Sept 2026vsLaval3-2W
    • 04 Sept 2026vsBoulogne1-1D
    • 31 Aug 2026vsSaint Etienne2-3L
    FC Metz
    FC Metz
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Sept 2026vsSaint Etienne2-2D
    • 14 Sept 2026vsRED Star FC 931-0L
    • 05 Sept 2026vsRodez4-1W
    • 29 Aug 2026vsAnnecy1-1D
    • 22 Aug 2026vsLaval1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    7Pau11
    8Sochaux11
    9FC Metz10
    10Dijon9
    11Guingamp8
    12USL Dunkerque8
    Updated daily

    Dijon vs FC Metz: form and season numbers

    Dijon take a form score of 5.5 out of 10 into this Ligue 2 fixture, against 5.9 for FC Metz. Dijon have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while FC Metz have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Dijon average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, FC Metz 1.8 and 1.2. Dijon have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, FC Metz in 10%. In their last 9 meetings Dijon have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3. Dijon sit 10th on 9 points, FC Metz 9th on 10.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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