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    Europa League · kickoff 20:00
    FT 1-0
    Dinamo Zagreb
    Dinamo Zagreb
    19th in the table
    LDWWL
    final
    1 - 0
    Anderlecht
    Anderlecht
    23rd in the table
    WLWWW

    The model's forecast cards

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Dinamo Zagreb or Draw@ 1.29
    6/10
    Dinamo Zagreb winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 64% between them. Only Anderlecht winning beats it, at 36%.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.73
    5/10
    We make the total 3.0 goals, so Over 2.5 Goals lands 57%. The next line up, Over 3.5, is 34%.
    Second goals lineLoss
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.20
    9/10
    Over 1.5 Goals lands 80%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 57%.

    Top Pick is the model's top pick: the card that stands out most against what its market usually shows in the model's own numbers. It is not a judgement on the price. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    40%
    Dinamo Zagreb
    24%
    Draw
    36%
    Anderlecht

    The market rates Anderlecht at 26%, so we are 10 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 3 goalsWe make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.01
    X3.60
    23.60

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Dinamo Zagreb

    Form comparison

    Anderlecht

    6.5
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    7.9
    Form score: Dinamo Zagreb 6.5, Anderlecht 7.9
    2.10
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.70
    Goals scored: Dinamo Zagreb 2.10, Anderlecht 1.70
    1.40
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    0.60
    Goals conceded: Dinamo Zagreb 1.40, Anderlecht 0.60

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Dinamo Zagreb
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Anderlecht3/5
    1/5Dinamo Zagreb
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Anderlecht0/5
    2.1Dinamo Zagreb
    Goals For per game
    Anderlecht1.7
    1.4Dinamo Zagreb
    Goals Against per game
    Anderlecht0.6
    1.9Dinamo Zagreb
    Yellow Cards per game
    Anderlecht2.0
    0.2Dinamo Zagreb
    Red Cards per game
    Anderlecht0.0
    0Dinamo Zagreb
    Win Streakmatches
    Anderlecht3
    Season averages • Dinamo Zagreb: 10 matches • Anderlecht: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Dinamo Zagreb
    Dinamo Zagreb
    Solid6.5/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Anderlecht
    Anderlecht
    Solid7.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 1D - 0L from Dinamo Zagreb's perspective
    • 13 Dec 2018Dinamo Zagreb0-0Anderlecht
    • 04 Oct 2018Anderlecht0-2Dinamo Zagreb
    Dinamo Zagreb
    Dinamo Zagreb
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsHNK Hajduk Split2-1L
    • 04 Oct 2026vsVukovar0-4W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2W
    • 16 Sept 2026vsHapoel Beer Sheva0-0D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsNK Osijek4-2L
    Anderlecht
    Anderlecht
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsCercle Brugge1-2W
    • 02 Oct 2026vsReims3-0W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsZulte Waregem3-0W
    • 16 Sept 2026vsLyon1-2L
    • 11 Sept 2026vsKV Mechelen0-1W
    PosTeamPts
    17Sturm Graz1
    18Rennes1
    19Dinamo Zagreb1
    20Hapoel Beer Sheva1
    21Jagiellonia0
    22Real Sociedad0
    23Anderlecht0
    24Lillestrom0
    25Celta Vigo0
    Updated daily

    Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: form and season numbers

    Dinamo Zagreb take a form score of 6.5 out of 10 into this Europa League fixture, against 7.9 for Anderlecht. Dinamo Zagreb have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Anderlecht have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Dinamo Zagreb average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, Anderlecht 1.7 and 0.6. Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Anderlecht in 70%. In their last 2 meetings Dinamo Zagreb have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0. Dinamo Zagreb sit 19th on 1 point, Anderlecht 23rd on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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