

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Dortmund strong, Mainz mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Dortmund take a form score of 7.7 out of 10 into this Bundesliga fixture, against 2.9 for Mainz. Dortmund have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 competitive matches, while Mainz have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Dortmund average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Mainz 2.1 and 2.1. Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Mainz in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Dortmund have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2. Dortmund sit 2nd on 21 points, Mainz 12th on 10.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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