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    World Cup · kickoff 01:00
    FT 0-0
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    3rd in the table
    WLDWL
    final
    0 - 0
    Curaçao
    Curaçao
    4th in the table
    LWLDL
    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.09
    9/10
    Ecuador heavy favourites at 1.09 with 5.33/10 form versus Curaçao's 2.67/10. The 2.66-point form advantage and 25.91-point odds gap indicate a near-lock World Cup qualifier mismatch.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.44
    7/10
    Ecuador expected to dominate possession and create multiple chances against weaker opposition. World Cup qualifiers at home typically see CONMEBOL sides rack up goals against CONCACAF minnows.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.36
    8/10
    Curaçao's 2.67/10 form and massive odds disadvantage (26.0 away win) suggest they'll struggle to create scoring opportunities. Ecuador defensively solid at home in qualifiers.

    Ecuador

    Form comparison

    Curaçao

    4.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.2
    Form score: Ecuador 4.0, Curaçao 2.2
    1.10
    Goals scoredper game
    1.50
    Goals scored: Ecuador 1.10, Curaçao 1.50
    0.70
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    2.10
    Goals conceded: Ecuador 0.70, Curaçao 2.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Ecuador
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Curaçao2/5
    3/5Ecuador
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Curaçao2/5
    1.1Ecuador
    Goals For per game
    Curaçao1.5
    0.7Ecuador
    Goals Against per game
    Curaçao2.1
    0Ecuador
    Win Streakmatches
    Curaçao0
    Season averages • Ecuador: 10 matches • Curaçao: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    Mixed4.0/10
    WLDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Curaçao
    Curaçao
    Poor2.2/10
    LWLDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Ecuador's perspective
    • 21 Jun 2026Ecuador0-0Curaçao
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsMexico2-0L
    • 25 Jun 2026vsGermany2-1W
    • 21 Jun 2026vsCuraçao0-0D
    • 14 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast1-0L
    • 07 Jun 2026vsGuatemala3-0W
    Curaçao
    Curaçao
    Last 5 matches
    • 25 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast0-2L
    • 21 Jun 2026vsEcuador0-0D
    • 14 Jun 2026vsGermany7-1L
    • 07 Jun 2026vsAruba4-0W
    • 30 May 2026vsScotland4-1L
    PosTeamPts
    1Germany6
    2Ivory Coast6
    3Ecuador4
    4Curaçao1
    Updated daily

    Ecuador vs Curaçao: form and season numbers

    Ecuador take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.2 for Curaçao. Ecuador have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Curaçao have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Ecuador average 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Curaçao 1.5 and 2.1. Ecuador have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Curaçao in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Ecuador have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Ecuador sit 3rd on 4 points, Curaçao 4th on 1.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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