Back to all matches
    World Cup · kickoff 04:00
    FT 1-1
    Egypt
    Egypt
    2nd in the table
    DWDDL
    final
    1 - 1
    Iran
    Iran
    3rd in the table
    WDDD
    how the market sees it finishing
    38%
    Egypt
    36%
    Draw
    26%
    Iran

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    12.50
    X2.61
    23.70

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    DC Egypt/Draw@ 1.55
    6/10
    Egypt marginally stronger on home form (5.78 vs 5.33) but neither side dominant. World Cup group stage opener typically cautious, both teams prioritizing not losing over attacking aggressively.
    GoalsWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.44
    7/10
    Both sides averaging 1.6-1.67 GPG. World Cup openers historically tight, teams feel out opponents before committing forward. 2 goals total fits the defensive-minded approach expected here.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 2.12
    6/10
    Both teams capable of scoring (1.6+ GPG each) and World Cup group stage matches rarely end 0-0 or 1-0, teams need points and both will create at least one quality chance.

    Egypt

    Form comparison

    Iran

    3.1
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.0
    Form score: Egypt 3.1, Iran 4.0
    1.40
    Goals scoredper game
    1.56
    Goals scored: Egypt 1.40, Iran 1.56
    0.90
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.67
    Goals conceded: Egypt 0.90, Iran 0.67

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Egypt
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Iran2/5
    0/5Egypt
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Iran1/5
    1.4Egypt
    Goals For per game
    Iran1.6
    0.9Egypt
    Goals Against per game
    Iran0.7
    0Egypt
    Win Streakmatches
    Iran0
    Season averages • Egypt: 10 matches • Iran: 9 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Mixed3.1/10
    DWDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Iran
    Iran
    Mixed4.0/10
    WDDD
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/4
    BTTS
    2/4
    Clean sheet
    2/4
    Scored in
    3/4
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Egypt's perspective
    • 27 Jun 2026Egypt1-1Iran
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-2L
    • 03 Jul 2026vsAustralia1-1D
    • 27 Jun 2026vsIran1-1D
    • 22 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand1-3W
    • 15 Jun 2026vsBelgium1-1D
    Iran
    Iran
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsEgypt1-1D
    • 21 Jun 2026vsBelgium0-0D
    • 16 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand2-2D
    • 04 Jun 2026vsMali2-0W
    PosTeamPts
    1Belgium5
    2Egypt5
    3Iran3
    4New Zealand1
    Updated daily

    Egypt vs Iran: form and season numbers

    Egypt take a form score of 3.1 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.0 for Iran. Egypt have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Iran have 1 win and 3 draws in theirs. Across the season Egypt average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Iran 1.6 and 0.7. Egypt have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Iran in 56%. In their last 1 meeting Egypt have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Egypt sit 2nd on 5 points, Iran 3rd on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

    Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops

    Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.

    Join the free Telegram